Economic Intelligence

Structured intelligence events

AI-assisted analysis of economic announcements with explicit verified facts, market reaction and confidence.

8 events
Country
Region
Category
Importance
Currency impact
Market impact
Country risk
Confidence
Showing 8 of 8 events
India·Monetary PolicyHigh

RBI holds repo at 6.50%; tone signals durable disinflation

Jun 7, 2026 · 06:30 UTC
Verified Fact
Repo Rate:6.50%prev 6.50%· Reserve Bank of India

MPC retains a neutral stance with one dissent voting for a cut; growth forecast nudged to 7.3%.

AI Assessment
Currency
Mixed
Markets
Positive
Country risk
No Material Change
Market Reaction
INR: FlatNIFTY 50: +0.4%
Confidence: 86% · High·2 sources·Updated Jun 27, 2026 · 11:00 UTCOpen Analysis
United States·Employment ReportHigh

US payrolls beat at +272K; unemployment ticks up to 4.1%

Jun 6, 2026 · 12:30 UTC
Verified Fact
Nonfarm Payrolls:+272Kprev +165K· BLS

Headline jobs strong but household survey shows softening; wage growth moderates to 4.0% YoY.

AI Assessment
Currency
Positive
Markets
Negative
Country risk
No Material Change
Market Reaction
USD: +0.4%S&P 500: -0.3%
Confidence: 82% · High·2 sources·Updated Jun 27, 2026 · 16:00 UTCOpen Analysis
Brazil·Credit RatingHigh

S&P revises Brazil outlook to Negative on fiscal slippage

Jun 24, 2026 · 22:00 UTC
Verified Fact
Sovereign Rating:BBprev BB· S&P Global

S&P keeps BB rating but flips outlook to Negative, citing widening primary deficit and rising debt trajectory.

AI Assessment
Currency
Negative
Markets
Negative
Country risk
Significantly Higher Risk
Market Reaction
BRL: -0.7%Bovespa: -1.0%
Confidence: 76% · Moderate·2 sources·Updated Jun 28, 2026 · 17:00 UTCOpen Analysis
Brazil·Monetary PolicyCritical

BCB hikes Selic by 25bp to 10.75% as inflation expectations drift

Jun 19, 2026 · 21:30 UTC
Verified Fact
Selic Rate:10.75%prev 10.50%· Banco Central do Brasil

Copom delivers a surprise hike, citing de-anchoring of survey-based inflation expectations amid fiscal concerns.

AI Assessment
Currency
Positive
Markets
Negative
Country risk
Slightly Higher Risk
Market Reaction
BRL: -1.1% vs USD (BRL stronger)Bovespa: -1.3%
Confidence: 84% · High·3 sources·Updated Jun 28, 2026 · 14:00 UTCOpen Analysis
United States·Monetary PolicyCritical

Federal Reserve holds rates, signals data-dependent pause

Jun 18, 2026 · 18:00 UTC
Verified Fact
Federal Funds Target Range:5.25%–5.50%prev 5.25%–5.50%· Federal Reserve

FOMC kept the target range at 5.25–5.50% and emphasized patience as services inflation cools more slowly than goods.

AI Assessment
Currency
Positive
Markets
Mixed
Country risk
No Material Change
Market Reaction
USD: +0.4% vs basketS&P 500: +0.3%
Confidence: 88% · High·4 sources·Updated Jun 28, 2026 · 09:15 UTCOpen Analysis
Brazil·Trade & CommoditiesMedium

Brazil soybean exports hit record on China demand surge

Jun 14, 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Verified Fact
May Soybean Exports:16.2M tonsprev 13.8M tons (Apr)· MDIC / Secex

May soybean shipments reached an all-time monthly high, lifting the trade surplus and supporting the BRL.

AI Assessment
Currency
Positive
Markets
Positive
Country risk
Slightly Lower Risk
Market Reaction
BRL: -0.6% (BRL stronger)Bovespa Agro Index: +1.7%
Confidence: 72% · Moderate·2 sources·Updated Jun 27, 2026 · 13:00 UTCOpen Analysis
United States·Inflation ReleaseHigh

US CPI eases to 3.1% YoY; core services still elevated

Jun 12, 2026 · 12:30 UTC
Verified Fact
CPI YoY:3.1%prev 3.3%· BLS

Headline inflation dipped on energy; core remained sticky at 3.4% YoY driven by shelter and insurance.

AI Assessment
Currency
Negative
Markets
Positive
Country risk
Slightly Lower Risk
Market Reaction
USD: -0.5%S&P 500: +0.6%
Confidence: 80% · High·2 sources·Updated Jun 26, 2026 · 12:00 UTCOpen Analysis
India·Inflation ReleaseHigh

India CPI eases to 4.8% YoY on favorable food base

Jun 12, 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Verified Fact
CPI YoY:4.8%prev 5.1%· MoSPI

Headline CPI back inside RBI's tolerance band as vegetable prices normalize; core stable around 3.2%.

AI Assessment
Currency
Mixed
Markets
Positive
Country risk
Slightly Lower Risk
Market Reaction
INR: FlatNIFTY 50: +0.2%
Confidence: 78% · High·2 sources·Updated Jun 27, 2026 · 08:00 UTCOpen Analysis