Country Risk
Global Country Risk
Compare sovereign, fiscal, political, currency and institutional risks across countries.
Live Data — World Bank + IMF
192 countries
Highest Debt / GDP (Fiscal Risk)190 countries
| # | Country | % GDP | Yr |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Venezuela | 308.7% | 2025 |
| 2 | Eritrea | 260.4% | 2019 |
| 3 | Japan | 206.5% | 2025 |
| 4 | Sudan | 187.6% | 2025 |
| 5 | Singapore | 171.3% | 2025 |
| 6 | Bahrain | 147.6% | 2025 |
| 7 | Greece | 145.7% | 2025 |
| 8 | Lebanon | 139.4% | 2025 |
| 9 | Italy | 137.1% | 2025 |
| 10 | Senegal | 130.2% | 2025 |
| 11 | Maldives | 125.4% | 2025 |
| 12 | United States | 123.9% | 2025 |
| 13 | France | 116.0% | 2025 |
| 14 | Canada | 113.5% | 2025 |
| 15 | Saint Vincent and the Grenadines | 113.4% | 2025 |
| 16 | Ukraine | 108.7% | 2025 |
| 17 | Belgium | 106.3% | 2025 |
| 18 | Suriname | 105.8% | 2025 |
| 19 | Bhutan | 103.6% | 2025 |
| 20 | Dominica | 102.6% | 2025 |
Largest Fiscal Deficits192 countries
| # | Country | % GDP | Yr |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Timor-Leste | -48.0% | 2025 |
| 2 | Libya | -31.1% | 2025 |
| 3 | Ukraine | -23.3% | 2025 |
| 4 | Kiribati | -14.5% | 2025 |
| 5 | Brunei Darussalam | -13.4% | 2025 |
| 6 | Bahrain | -13.0% | 2025 |
| 7 | Saint Vincent and the Grenadines | -12.3% | 2025 |
| 8 | Saint Kitts and Nevis | -11.7% | 2025 |
| 9 | Bolivia | -11.6% | 2025 |
| 10 | Malawi | -11.5% | 2025 |
| 11 | Algeria | -10.2% | 2025 |
| 12 | Suriname | -9.6% | 2025 |
| 13 | Gabon | -8.5% | 2025 |
| 14 | Brazil | -8.1% | 2025 |
| 15 | Senegal | -7.9% | 2025 |
| 16 | China | -7.9% | 2025 |
| 17 | Syria | -7.8% | 2010 |
| 18 | Romania | -7.6% | 2025 |
| 19 | India | -7.4% | 2025 |
| 20 | Botswana | -7.4% | 2025 |
Government debt/GDP and fiscal balance/GDP. Higher debt and larger deficits indicate elevated fiscal risk.
Countries monitored
30
Regions covered
6
Avg global risk
39/100
Rising risk
10
Improving risk
10
High-impact events
6
Last updated
Jun 29, 2026 · 15:10 UTC
Mock Data — illustrative scores. Higher score = higher risk.
Global Risk Map
Very Low Low Moderate Elevated High Critical
North America
Low · 28/100Latin America
Elevated · 60/100Europe
Low · 26/100Asia-Pacific
Low · 32/100Middle East
Moderate · 45/100Africa
High · 74/100Global Sovereign Risk
+2
44/100
Moderate · 44/100Persistent fiscal deficits in developed markets and selective EM stress raise aggregate sovereign risk.
Main: Argentina, Turkey, NigeriaConf: Medium
Updated Jun 29, 2026 · 15:10 UTC · Mock Data
Emerging Market Risk
-2
58/100
Elevated · 58/100Disinflation in Latin America and orthodox policy pivots offset weakness in frontier issuers.
Main: Brazil, Mexico, IndonesiaConf: Medium
Updated Jun 29, 2026 · 15:10 UTC · Mock Data
Developed Market Risk
+1
28/100
Low · 28/100Public-debt trajectories edge higher even as recession risk recedes.
Main: France, Italy, United KingdomConf: High
Updated Jun 29, 2026 · 15:10 UTC · Mock Data
Global Fiscal Pressure
+3
52/100
Elevated · 52/100Higher rates and defense / energy spending widen deficits across major economies.
Main: United States, Brazil, FranceConf: Medium
Updated Jun 29, 2026 · 15:10 UTC · Mock Data
Political Stability
0
41/100
Moderate · 41/100Heavy electoral calendar globally, but most outcomes remain within policy-continuity range.
Main: United States, India, United KingdomConf: Medium
Updated Jun 29, 2026 · 15:10 UTC · Mock Data
Currency Stress
-3
47/100
Moderate · 47/100FX reserves stabilized and EM carry remains attractive; lira and naira still volatile.
Main: Turkey, Argentina, NigeriaConf: Medium
Updated Jun 29, 2026 · 15:10 UTC · Mock Data
Banking-System Stress
-2
33/100
Low · 33/100Capital ratios remain above requirements; commercial real-estate concerns localized.
Main: United States, Germany, ChinaConf: Medium
Updated Jun 29, 2026 · 15:10 UTC · Mock Data
External Financing Risk
+2
46/100
Moderate · 46/100Higher US yields and stronger dollar tighten external financing for low-rated issuers.
Main: Argentina, Egypt, TurkeyConf: Medium
Updated Jun 29, 2026 · 15:10 UTC · Mock Data
Largest Risk Increases
Largest Risk Improvements
Highest Currency Risk
Highest Political Risk
Sort:
| Country | Region | Overall | Category | Fiscal | Political | Currency | Debt | Banking | Regulatory | External | Rating | Direction | Confidence | Updated | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Argentina | Latin America | 86 | Critical · 86/100 | 83 | 90 | 93 | 96 | 88 | 86 | 98 | CCC | +2 | Low | Jun 26, 2026 | Coming Soon |
| Nigeria | Africa | 80 | Critical · 80/100 | 87 | 98 | 82 | 69 | 90 | 86 | 87 | B- | -2 | Low | Jun 24, 2026 | Coming Soon |
| Turkey | Middle East | 78 | High · 78/100 | 86 | 68 | 92 | 83 | 73 | 93 | 89 | B+ | +1 | Low | Jun 25, 2026 | Coming Soon |
| Egypt | Africa | 76 | High · 76/100 | 93 | 88 | 74 | 83 | 88 | 92 | 91 | B- | +3 | Low | Jun 24, 2026 | Coming Soon |
| South Africa | Africa | 66 | High · 66/100 | 82 | 60 | 66 | 81 | 69 | 72 | 71 | BB- | -1 | Low | Jun 25, 2026 | Coming Soon |
| Colombia | Latin America | 62 | Elevated · 62/100 | 56 | 75 | 73 | 56 | 68 | 68 | 68 | BB+ | -3 | Low | Jun 25, 2026 | Coming Soon |
| Brazil | Latin America | 58 | Elevated · 58/100 | 68 | 61 | 60 | 48 | 54 | 45 | 53 | BB | +2 | High | Jun 29, 2026 · 14:20 UTC | Full Profile |
| China | Asia-Pacific | 48 | Moderate · 48/100 | 56 | 54 | 62 | 54 | 62 | 48 | 64 | A+ | +1 | Medium | Jun 28, 2026 | Basic Coverage |
| Indonesia | Asia-Pacific | 46 | Moderate · 46/100 | 59 | 57 | 50 | 46 | 54 | 56 | 36 | BBB | -2 | Low | Jun 25, 2026 | Coming Soon |
| Mexico | North America | 45 | Moderate · 45/100 | 41 | 43 | 58 | 48 | 52 | 31 | 35 | BBB | -3 | Medium | Jun 27, 2026 | Basic Coverage |
| Italy | Europe | 44 | Moderate · 44/100 | 32 | 31 | 39 | 37 | 46 | 52 | 58 | BBB | +2 | Low | Jun 27, 2026 | Coming Soon |
| Israel | Middle East | 44 | Moderate · 44/100 | 29 | 48 | 41 | 45 | 43 | 34 | 49 | A+ | +2 | Low | Jun 26, 2026 | Coming Soon |
| India | Asia-Pacific | 42 | Moderate · 42/100 | 50 | 31 | 54 | 40 | 37 | 39 | 45 | BBB- | +1 | High | Jun 29, 2026 · 14:20 UTC | Full Profile |
| Poland | Europe | 36 | Moderate · 36/100 | 43 | 51 | 54 | 26 | 50 | 30 | 28 | A- | -4 | Low | Jun 25, 2026 | Coming Soon |
| Chile | Latin America | 34 | Low · 34/100 | 48 | 39 | 44 | 26 | 48 | 34 | 50 | A | +1 | Low | Jun 26, 2026 | Coming Soon |
| France | Europe | 32 | Low · 32/100 | 22 | 48 | 47 | 42 | 41 | 38 | 40 | AA- | -4 | Low | Jun 27, 2026 | Coming Soon |
| Saudi Arabia | Middle East | 32 | Low · 32/100 | 28 | 44 | 39 | 43 | 18 | 45 | 33 | A+ | -2 | Medium | Jun 27, 2026 | Basic Coverage |
| Spain | Europe | 30 | Low · 30/100 | 24 | 22 | 43 | 33 | 38 | 18 | 30 | A | 0 | Low | Jun 27, 2026 | Coming Soon |
| South Korea | Asia-Pacific | 30 | Low · 30/100 | 25 | 17 | 25 | 25 | 14 | 37 | 40 | AA | +2 | Low | Jun 26, 2026 | Coming Soon |
| Japan | Asia-Pacific | 28 | Low · 28/100 | 19 | 29 | 13 | 14 | 9 | 27 | 37 | A+ | +3 | Medium | Jun 28, 2026 | Basic Coverage |
| United Kingdom | Europe | 26 | Low · 26/100 | 42 | 28 | 16 | 34 | 25 | 12 | 15 | AA | +3 | Medium | Jun 28, 2026 | Basic Coverage |
| United Arab Emirates | Middle East | 24 | Low · 24/100 | 12 | 23 | 43 | 17 | 11 | 35 | 17 | AA | -4 | Medium | Jun 28, 2026 | Basic Coverage |
| Germany | Europe | 22 | Low · 22/100 | 20 | 24 | 11 | 26 | 15 | 19 | 26 | AAA | +3 | Medium | Jun 28, 2026 | Basic Coverage |
| Canada | North America | 20 | Low · 20/100 | 23 | 9 | 24 | 17 | 22 | 28 | 34 | AAA | +1 | Medium | Jun 28, 2026 | Basic Coverage |
| Australia | Asia-Pacific | 20 | Low · 20/100 | 5 | 11 | 29 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 13 | AAA | 0 | Medium | Jun 28, 2026 | Basic Coverage |
| United States | North America | 18 | Very Low · 18/100 | 15 | 26 | 33 | 30 | 7 | 31 | 21 | AA+ | 0 | High | Jun 29, 2026 · 14:20 UTC | Full Profile |
| Netherlands | Europe | 18 | Very Low · 18/100 | 19 | 13 | 12 | 7 | 28 | 5 | 10 | AAA | -2 | Low | Jun 26, 2026 | Coming Soon |
| Norway | Europe | 14 | Very Low · 14/100 | 5 | 21 | 23 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16 | AAA | 0 | Low | Jun 26, 2026 | Coming Soon |
| Switzerland | Europe | 12 | Very Low · 12/100 | 5 | 11 | 23 | 5 | 22 | 14 | 5 | AAA | -4 | Low | Jun 26, 2026 | Coming Soon |
| Singapore | Asia-Pacific | 10 | Very Low · 10/100 | 23 | 14 | 8 | 18 | 5 | 5 | 5 | AAA | +2 | Low | Jun 26, 2026 | Coming Soon |
Internal Platform Risk Score — not an official credit rating. See methodology.